Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 5.090326 5.529075 6.017909 6.609314 7.314494 8.140683 9.201342
2025-02-09 4.655518 5.246918 5.954269 6.885171 8.116097 9.751987 12.222582
2025-02-16 4.282570 4.964663 5.827392 7.046026 8.816560 11.488595 16.363505
2025-02-23 3.966265 4.705114 5.684431 7.157151 9.497582 13.536992 22.869239
2025-03-02 3.552514 4.268952 5.244253 6.766498 9.325975 14.170180 27.732569
2025-03-09 3.280034 3.994159 4.993779 6.617733 9.527659 15.691965 38.588542
2025-03-16 2.983545 3.659069 4.619058 6.213760 9.178444 15.913834 46.897030
2025-03-23 2.836382 3.521222 4.520240 6.246661 9.682079 18.660521 92.813272
2025-03-30 2.681405 3.358728 4.366166 6.160488 9.930919 21.089261 261.346439
2025-04-06 2.521776 3.177419 4.165267 5.961032 9.881578 22.640848 5511.570738
2025-04-13 2.352606 2.971372 3.908587 5.626777 9.439044 22.382750 NaN
2025-04-20 2.284813 2.912621 3.883278 5.723415 10.085146 27.985378 NaN
2025-04-27 2.284612 2.970878 4.080636 6.351615 12.698447 62.744838 NaN
2025-05-04 2.227128 2.935698 4.117926 6.676860 14.869462 200.413591 NaN
2025-05-11 2.156313 2.873494 4.101005 6.887724 17.027679 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 2.084102 2.803277 4.061730 7.043760 19.364548 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.965127 2.647010 3.844270 6.700410 18.752926 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.880642 2.543835 3.720030 6.582730 19.477004 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.777074 2.402700 3.511111 6.203173 18.244344 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.724742 2.345807 3.461990 6.252886 20.054584 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.665156 2.272909 3.374735 6.179918 21.008219 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.599643 2.186414 3.253685 5.989527 20.834875 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 1.525951 2.082705 3.091848 5.659869 19.210614 NaN NaN